| The biggest economy of the world; economy of USA | | | | liabilities in foreign exchange. USA has got external |
| with more than 14 trillion dollars, around 23% of the | | | | liabilities of around 13.4 tn dollars, the amount of Foreign |
| world GDP. We can think of the effects on the rest of | | | | Direct Investments at home is 2.4 tn dollars and the |
| the world on having a plunge in the USA economy | | | | total amounts to 15.8 tn dollars (Liabilities side of |
| with the recent sub-prime crisis. This country is known | | | | Balance Sheet). The amount of forex reserves it has |
| for its entrepreneurship with huge amounts of | | | | around 78 bn dollars, the amount of foreign direct |
| investments flowing to rest of the world. The rapid | | | | investment by USA in rest of the world is 3.3 tn dollars |
| development in industrialization & technology in the | | | | and the total amounts to around 3.4 tn dollars (Assets |
| past some decades lead it on the forefront of the | | | | side of Balance Sheet). Net amount of forex liabilities |
| world. | | | | on head is 12.5 tn dollars which is about 87% of the |
| | | | | GDP. |
| During 1970s when the Gold system and Bretton | | | | |
| woods systems came to an end; fiat system has | | | | Even the domestic growth and markets also hindered |
| come into force where the printing of money is not | | | | with huge amounts of domestic credits about 15 tn |
| supported by any underlying assets. Still there are | | | | dollars; more than the GDP. Let us have a small |
| some world famous economists who are against the | | | | calculation of the different components of the GDP |
| fiat system of money printing where there is no base | | | | value of 14 tn dollars. Agriculture, Industry & |
| for money printing and explicitly dependent on the | | | | Services forms 1.2%, 21.9% & 76.9% of the GDP |
| markets and solemnly at the decision of the govt. of | | | | respectively. The labour cost or service cost of the |
| the countries. | | | | west like USA & Europe is highly inflated as |
| | | | | compared to the Asian countries. The same level of |
| Even after this system collapse, all the rest of the | | | | service can be rendered in India or China at 1/3rd cost |
| countries started backing USD as a reserve currency | | | | with same level of expertise due to huge surplus |
| and a tiny part in gold to back up the printing of their | | | | manpower. If we calculate these services in the GDP, |
| currencies. All the international transactions were | | | | it comes to around 10.8 tn dollars. If we compare with |
| mostly in the USD. This lead to more than half of the | | | | the Asian cost of services it would equivalent to 3.6 tn |
| world forex reserves in the form of USD currency | | | | dollars roughly. So as per the basic workings the total |
| and government bonds. | | | | GDP comes to around 6.8 tn dollars. |
| | | | | |
| Is United States of America strong enough to cover | | | | With this level of GDP can it sustain the external debts |
| the money i.e. currency whatever it is printing and the | | | | and can it make justice to the overseas countries |
| quasi money i.e. government bonds it is issuing? What | | | | which are holding USD as reserves? The same story |
| would happen if rest of the world starts dumping the | | | | goes for Europe too. By ignoring these fundamental |
| USD reserves in the global markets? Is the American | | | | things we are leading towards the false globalization |
| economy strong enough to control or capture all this | | | | and growth. It forms a huge bubble in the world |
| reserve currency? | | | | economic systems and the global financial systems |
| | | | | going to change entirely in the coming decade. |
| Apart from this, USA has got huge short fall in the | | | | |
| trade balance which led to a massive amount of forex | | | | Let us not forget the fundamentals. |
| liabilities. Let us have a small calculation of USA's | | | | |